"The US Wins Many Medals At The Olympics"
Posted: Thu Sep 09, 2004 10:05 pm
O.K., new thread needed here. Lot's of arm waving and great ideas over in the other thread, but let's dissect this problem.
Everybody familiar with "Cause-Effect" reasoning? You know, "If we have A we will get B" type stuff. Let's look at the end result:
The US wins many medals at the Olympics.
What are the prerequisites, and proximate causes, of that desired outcome?
Try this:
"If the US has a large pool of elite competitors, then the US will win many medals at the Olympics."
Good Enough? Maybe not. There are other prerequisite conditions. Try:
A) The US has a large pool of elite competitors
B) The US wins many quota slots
C) The US wins many medals at the Olympics
Now "If A and B, Then C."
Well allright, maybe we need some more clarity:
D) We enter as many quota-eligible competitors as possible in each quota-earning event
Now If A and D, then B. If A and B, then C.
See how it works?
Now, in order to achieve A and D maybe we need to change some things . . . and maybe there are some existing conditions (not requiring any action per se) that are being left out but must be addressed.
Steve Swartz
Everybody familiar with "Cause-Effect" reasoning? You know, "If we have A we will get B" type stuff. Let's look at the end result:
The US wins many medals at the Olympics.
What are the prerequisites, and proximate causes, of that desired outcome?
Try this:
"If the US has a large pool of elite competitors, then the US will win many medals at the Olympics."
Good Enough? Maybe not. There are other prerequisite conditions. Try:
A) The US has a large pool of elite competitors
B) The US wins many quota slots
C) The US wins many medals at the Olympics
Now "If A and B, Then C."
Well allright, maybe we need some more clarity:
D) We enter as many quota-eligible competitors as possible in each quota-earning event
Now If A and D, then B. If A and B, then C.
See how it works?
Now, in order to achieve A and D maybe we need to change some things . . . and maybe there are some existing conditions (not requiring any action per se) that are being left out but must be addressed.
Steve Swartz